Home > Seasonal Events > Nagoya Jan 2027: B.LEAGUE All-Star × Common Test, 2,825 Rooms in 2km

Nagoya Jan 2027: B.LEAGUE All-Star × Common Test, 2,825 Rooms in 2km

Posted: 2026.10.27

Seasonal Events

For three days from Friday, January 15 to Sunday, January 17, 2027, IG Arena in Kita Ward, Nagoya will host the “Resona Group B.LEAGUE ALL-STAR GAME WEEKEND 2027 IN AICHI-NAGOYA.” Its second and third days, Saturday January 16 and Sunday January 17, coincide exactly with the main test dates of the FY2027 (Reiwa 9) Common Test for University Admissions set by the National Center for University Entrance Examinations. Two demand streams with completely different guest profiles and booking behavior — basketball All-Star fans and exam takers staying the night before — will flow into the same weekend in mid-January, the period when Nagoya’s hotel rates sink to their lowest point of the year. This article draws on measured room stock around IG Arena, price movements on January 16 and 17 of the previous Common Test (held January 17–18, 2026) — the eve of the test and its first day — and the seasonality of settled ADR in Meieki and Sakae to assess how far Nagoya hotel operators can rework their pricing and selling conditions for these three days.

About the data in this article
• ADR (Average Daily Rate) = an estimated settled rate (tax-exclusive equivalent), calculated by applying a property-type correction factor to the lowest-priced plan each property publishes on OTAs (per room, two guests per room, tax-inclusive). Validation against property-level results disclosed by listed hotel REITs (91 properties, most recent 3 months) shows a median error of about 7%. These are estimates and differ from each property’s actual settled prices and accounting figures.
• Area-level ADR (prefecture / municipality) is the median of the estimated settled rates of the properties covered (the level of a typical property in the area).
• References to listed prices mean the per-room rate for two guests per room (tax-inclusive).
• OCC (occupancy) = the share of rooms sold out of total rooms in the area (an estimate based on OTA sales inventory).
• Source: MetroEngines Research (continuously tracks OTA public prices for about 168,000 properties in Japan, of which about 27,000 are confirmed active)

Note on lead time: At the time of writing (October 20, 2026), January 15, 2027 is about 87 days away, beyond the 45-day lead time within which we recommend using booking curves and estimated OCC. This article therefore does not cover booking pace or estimated OCC for January 2027. In addition, our remaining-inventory observations began on March 10, 2026, so no booking curve exists for the weekend of the previous Common Test (January 17–18, 2026). For the same weekend last year we use the daily trend in listed prices, and for curve shape we use Saturdays in autumn 2026 as a reference. Wherever estimated OCC or curves are shown, we note “N properties / M rooms covered (based on listings on major booking sites).”

Key Takeaways
  • — January 15–17 overlap: The three-day B.LEAGUE All-Star at IG Arena and the main Common Test sessions (16th and 17th) fall on the same weekend; on the nights of the 15th and 16th, fans and exam takers will compete for the same rooms in the city.
  • — 18 active hotels / 2,825 rooms within 2km (as of October 21, 2026). Within 1km there is only one hotel with 100 rooms, so fan demand will shift to Sakae and Marunouchi along the Meijo Line, and to Meieki.
  • — January is the annual trough: Estimated settled ADR in January 2026 was ¥9,747 in Nakamura Ward (N=72 properties) and ¥9,137 in Naka Ward (N=89 properties) — 50–60% of the level in September 2026, the month of the Asian Games.
  • — Prices did not move on the last Common Test weekend: On Saturday, January 17, 2026 (day one), the listed price for Aichi business hotels was ¥21,800, -1.1% versus the average of the three surrounding Saturdays.
  • — LT45 around December 1 is the turning point: On a normal Saturday (October 17, 2026), estimated OCC at LT45 was 83.0% in Naka Ward and 73.6% in Nakamura Ward. If pace runs above these levels, bring forward floor increases and Fri–Sat two-night conditions.

Overlapping Demand — Three All-Star Days and Two Common Test Days on One Weekend

First, let us confirm from primary sources what overlaps and when. According to the official B.LEAGUE event outline, the “Resona Group B.LEAGUE ALL-STAR GAME WEEKEND 2027 IN AICHI – NAGOYA” runs DAY1 on Friday, January 15, 2027, DAY2 on Saturday, January 16, and DAY3 on Sunday, January 17, at IG Arena (Nagoya, Aichi), organized by the Japan Basketball Association and the Japan Professional Basketball League. The outline announced on October 6, 2026 set out the program as the Asia Cross Tournament on January 15, the All-Star Contests and U18 All-Star Game on the 16th, and the main All-Star Game on the 17th, with ticket sales scheduled for early December 2026. IG Arena was named as the venue in an announcement on June 19, 2025, and that release noted that the January 2025 edition in Funabashi drew “19,054 people over two days.” According to Aichi Prefecture, IG Arena holds up to 17,000 people (including standing room), is located at 1-2-22 Meijo, Kita Ward, Nagoya, and held its grand opening with the Nagoya Grand Sumo Tournament on July 13, 2025.

Meanwhile, the National Center for University Entrance Examinations has set the main FY2027 Common Test for “Saturday January 16 and Sunday January 17, 2027 (Reiwa 9),” with make-up/re-tests on “Saturday January 23 and Sunday January 24.” In other words, January 16 and 17 line up exactly with All-Star DAY2 and DAY3 and the first and second days of the main test. Because exam takers’ stays concentrate on the nights before each test day — Friday the 15th and Saturday the 16th — the 15th will see All-Star DAY1 attendees and exam takers’ pre-test stays, and the 16th will see DAY2 attendees and exam takers facing day two, competing for the same rooms in the city. When we tallied Common Test lodging demand across eight major cities in October 2026, Nagoya had 20 test venues and 19,429 applicants; assuming a 3% lodging ratio, that comes to 545 rooms per night. Exam-taker demand is not large in volume, but it differs decisively from All-Star attendees in that these guests prioritize certainty over price and secure quiet rooms close to their test venue early.

Table 1: Schedule for January 15–17, 2027 and Overlapping Lodging Demand
DateAll-Star (B.LEAGUE official)Common Test (NCUEE)Lodging demand outlook
Fri, Jan 15DAY1 Asia Cross Tournament— (main test day 1 is the next day)Night when fans’ first-night stays and exam takers’ pre-test stays overlap
Sat, Jan 16DAY2 All-Star Contests & U18Main test day 1Fans’ Saturday stays + consecutive stays by exam takers facing day 2
Sun, Jan 17DAY3 All-Star Game (main event)Main test day 2Sunday stays by long-distance fans; exam takers head home
Sat, Jan 23 – Sun, Jan 24—Make-up / re-testsSmall in scale, but pre-test stays at Nagoya venues recur

Source: B.LEAGUE “Event Outline” (2026), National Center for University Entrance Examinations “FY2027 Examination”; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team

Rooms Around IG Arena — One Active Hotel (100 Rooms) Within 1km, 18 Hotels (2,825 Rooms) Within 2km

The room stock in this article covers lodging facilities with 10 or more rooms (excluding leisure/love hotels) within a 2,000m radius of IG Arena; “active” means properties whose selling prices were confirmed on major booking sites in the most recent three months (August–October 2026), as of October 21, 2026, tallied by MetroEngines Research.

IG Arena stands in the northern section of Meijo Park, and there are almost no lodging facilities within walking distance. Within a 1km radius there is only one active property with 100 rooms; another 195-room property still listed in the same radius had no selling prices confirmed in the last three months. Widening to 2km gives 18 active properties with 2,825 rooms, but most are business hotels at the northern edge of Marunouchi, Hisaya-odori and Nishiki, clustered 1.5–2.0km from the arena. Sakae is three stops from Meijo Koen Station on the Meijo subway line, so fan stays will effectively be absorbed by rooms in the Sakae and Marunouchi area. Expanding to a 5km radius jumps the count to 189 active properties with 31,163 rooms, taking in nearly all of the main hotel districts of Meieki, Fushimi, Sakae and Kanayama. Against attendance on the order of 17,000 people, rooms within 2km equal just under 17% of that figure, while rooms within 5km equal 1.8 times it.

Table 2: Active Rooms Within 2km and 5km of IG Arena by Type (as of October 21, 2026)
Type (active only)Within 2kmWithin 5km
Business hotels13 / 2,508 rooms147 / 25,155 rooms
City hotels1 / 72 rooms16 / 2,986 rooms
Deluxe hotels1 / 100 rooms4 / 1,889 rooms
Capsule hotels0 / 0 rooms3 / 576 rooms
Other (corporate/organization lodges, hostels, minshuku, etc.)3 / 145 rooms19 / 557 rooms
Total (active)18 / 2,825 rooms189 / 31,163 rooms
Reference: listed stock (regardless of active status)23 / 3,386 rooms274 / 39,980 rooms

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (as of October 2026)

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (actual coordinates of active properties. Dot size = number of rooms; blue = within 2km, gray = 300+ room properties within 5km)

Ranking the 18 active properties within 2km by room count, one has more than 300 rooms and seven are in the 200s, most of them opened in 2000 or later. The active property closest to the arena is a 100-room deluxe hotel south of Meijo Park, followed by Aoi Hotel (葵ホテル, 19 rooms) at 1.0km and KKR Hotel Nagoya (KKRホテル名古屋, 106 rooms) at 1.2km. The remaining 15 line the northern side of Marunouchi, Hisaya-odori and Nishiki, all within walking distance of a Meijo Line or Sakura-dori Line station.

Table 3: Active Lodging Facilities Within 2km of IG Arena (N=18 properties, by room count)
Property (within 2km, active)RoomsTypeDistance from arenaOpened
APA Hotel Nagoya Sakae-Kita (アパホテル〈名古屋栄北〉)350Business hotel1,741m2018
Meitetsu Inn Nagoya Nishiki (名鉄イン名古屋錦)280Business hotel1,960m2007
Hotel Keihan Nagoya (ホテル京阪名古屋)259Business hotel1,928m2020
APA Hotel Nagoya Marunouchi Ekimae (アパホテル〈名古屋丸の内駅前〉)254Business hotel1,919m2005
Nishitetsu Hotel Croom Nagoya (西鉄ホテル クルーム名古屋)242Business hotel1,915m2019
Toyoko Inn Nagoya Marunouchi (東横INN名古屋丸の内)236Business hotel1,676m1998
Kuretake Inn Nagoya Hisaya-odori (くれたけイン名古屋久屋大通)217Business hotel1,639m2018
Washington R&B Hotel Nagoya Nishiki (ワシントンR&Bホテル名古屋錦)204Business hotel1,948m2000
Natural Hot Spring Hotel Livemax PREMIUM Nagoya Marunouchi (天然温泉ホテルリブマックスPREMIUM名古屋丸の内)156Business hotel1,752m2021
Hotel Vista Nagoya Nishiki (ホテルビスタ名古屋 錦)143Business hotel1,966m2017
Hotel & Rooms Nagoya Sakae (ホテル・アンドルームス名古屋栄)108Business hotel1,559m2018
KKR Hotel Nagoya (KKRホテル名古屋)106Corporate/organization lodge1,196m1962
Espacio Nagoya Castle (エスパシオ ナゴヤキャッスル)100Deluxe hotel830m2025
Iris Aichi (アイリス愛知)72City hotel1,520m1994
BRILLIANCE HOTEL40Business hotel1,758m2021
Manga Art Hotel Nagoya Marunouchi (マンガアートホテル名古屋丸の内)25Hostel1,851m2026
Aoi Hotel (葵ホテル)19Business hotel1,029m1990
Minshuku Nagonoya (民宿 なごのや)14Minshuku1,865m2015

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (as of October 2026) (N=18 properties)

Settled ADR in Meieki and Sakae — January Is the Annual Trough, Just Over Half of September 2026

Next, we pin down rate levels for “mid-January,” when this weekend falls, using data for finalized months. Estimated settled ADR in Nakamura Ward (Meieki) was ¥9,700 in January 2026 (N=72 properties) — up +11.4% from ¥8,700 a year earlier, but clearly down from ¥10,700 in December 2025 and ¥12,000 in November. Naka Ward (Sakae/Fushimi) shows the same pattern: January 2026 came in at ¥9,100 (N=89 properties, +15.5% YoY), below ¥9,600 in December 2025 and ¥11,000 in November. In 2025, too, January was the lowest of the 12 months at ¥8,700 in Nakamura Ward and ¥7,900 in Naka Ward, confirming January as the trough for two consecutive years.

The contrast is September 2026, when the 20th Asian Games were held: Nakamura Ward reached ¥17,400 and Naka Ward ¥16,900, 1.79x and 1.85x their January 2026 levels. September proved that large-scale events can move Nagoya’s rates, but the All-Star is a one-off three-day event, so the question is how much of the demand it layers on top of January’s floor can be passed through to rates. Note that for January 2027 an estimate based on listings at the time of research is available, but because it is a snapshot of current listings and different in nature from a finalized month, we do not use it for comparison here. Kita Ward, where IG Arena is located, falls short of the number of properties needed to calculate estimated settled ADR in many months, so a ward-level series cannot be shown.

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (estimated settled ADR, finalized months only. Nakamura Ward N=71–73 properties, Naka Ward N=87–92 properties)

Table 4: Estimated Settled ADR in Nakamura Ward, Naka Ward and Aichi Prefecture (finalized months, tax-exclusive equivalent)
Finalized monthNakamura Ward ADRYoYNaka Ward ADRYoYAichi ADR
2025-11¥11,994+11.0%¥11,016+17.9%¥9,764
2025-12¥10,748+8.7%¥9,629+7.9%¥9,056
2026-01¥9,747+11.4%¥9,137+15.5%¥8,571
2026-02¥10,348+12.1%¥8,915+3.6%¥8,340
2026-09¥17,440+83.4%¥16,927+79.0%¥12,372

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (estimated settled ADR, tax-exclusive equivalent, comparison between finalized months)

The Last Common Test Weekend (Eve Jan 16, Day One Jan 17) — Listed Prices Matched Neighboring Saturdays

Because the booking pace curve for the same weekend last year predates our observations, here we line up listed prices at the final observation point (all-plan average, two guests per room, tax-inclusive) for Fridays and Saturdays in January 2026. For Aichi business hotels (N=310 properties), Saturday January 17, day one of the Common Test, came in at ¥21,800 — nearly level with the surrounding Saturdays of January 10 (¥22,100), January 24 (¥21,900) and January 31 (¥22,200), just -1.1% against the average of the three Saturdays. Friday the 16th, the eve of the test, was ¥16,100, no different from other Fridays (¥15,500, ¥16,400, ¥16,300). For properties within 5km of IG Arena (N=142 properties), Saturday the 17th was ¥31,600, falling between ¥31,200 on January 10 and ¥32,300 on January 24. The 2025 test weekend (eve January 17, day one January 18) was the same: Aichi business hotels were at ¥21,000 on Saturday the 18th, below ¥21,900 the following Saturday, the 25th.

These results show that in Nagoya, the Common Test on its own does not generate enough demand to push Saturday prices up. Exam-taker pre-test stays certainly exist, but a scale of a few hundred rooms per night is absorbed by a supply of over 20,000 rooms and does not show up as a price signal. In 2027, three days of All-Star fan demand will sit on top of this “Saturday that didn’t move.” What matters as a reference point is the fact itself that the same Saturday last year was priced the same as neighboring Saturdays; how far the listed price on Saturday January 16, 2027 diverges from neighboring Saturdays will be the most straightforward measure of the All-Star’s net uplift.

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (listed prices, all-plan average, two guests per room, tax-inclusive, at final observation. Aichi business hotels N=309–317 properties; within 5km of IG Arena N=141–145 properties)

Booking Curves in Meieki and Sakae — Reading the LT45→1 Shape From Autumn 2026 Saturdays

With no actual January curve available, the only option for a shape reference is the most recent finalized Saturdays. On Saturday October 17, 2026 (a normal Saturday), estimated OCC (based on OTA listed inventory) in Naka Ward — covering 59 properties / 10,844 rooms (based on listings on major booking sites) — rose from 83.0% at LT45 to 91.0% at LT14 and 94.6% at LT1; in Nakamura Ward — 46 properties / 7,286 rooms — it rose from 73.6% at LT45 to 92.8% at LT14 and 94.1% at LT1. The Meieki side filled up sharply between LT30 and LT14, while the Sakae side kept building gradually after LT14. Saturday October 10, the first day of a three-day weekend, started lower in both wards (Naka 71.6%, Nakamura 69.6%) and reached 98.1% in Naka and 95.7% in Nakamura at LT1 — the more leisure-oriented the weekend, the more it builds close to arrival. Saturday September 26, during the Asian Games, was already near the ceiling at LT45, at 94.9% in Naka Ward and 97.6% in Nakamura Ward, showing that on major event weekends the outcome was decided 45 days out. How curve shapes differ between city hotels and business hotels in Aichi is analyzed in detail in our comparison of October booking curves for Aichi city and business hotels.

Which of these three shapes Saturday January 16 of the All-Star weekend will approach is likely to be determined once tickets go on sale in early December. Lodging for spectators tends to be arranged once tickets are confirmed and concentrates around LT30–LT40, so an earlier ramp-up than the normal Saturday curve can be expected. Exam takers’ pre-test stays come even earlier and are likely to be locked in during December. What operators should watch, therefore, is how far OCC at LT45 (around December 1) exceeds the normal-Saturday reference values of 83% in Naka Ward and 74% in Nakamura Ward; if a gap appears there, there is room to raise pricing set on the assumption of January’s floor.

Source: MetroEngines Research; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team (estimated OCC = based on OTA listed inventory, LT45–LT1. Naka Ward: 59 properties / 10,844 rooms; Nakamura Ward: 46 properties / 7,286 rooms; both based on listings on major booking sites). These are estimates based on the sell-through of inventory sold on OTAs and differ from each property’s actual total occupancy.

Pricing Options in the January Trough — Managing Rate Floors and Minimum Stays

Based on the above, we set out the actions Nagoya revenue managers can consider for January 15–17, 2027. First, resetting the minimum selling price (floor). The most recent January settled ADR is ¥9,700 in Nakamura Ward and ¥9,100 in Naka Ward, and in a normal January each property’s floor would also drop to around this level. Because spectator demand will sit on top of that over the All-Star weekend, for the two nights of the 15th and 16th, re-anchoring the floor to November–December settled levels (Nakamura Ward ¥12,000–¥10,700, Naka Ward ¥11,000–¥9,600) is the first move to avoid selling out at January’s bottom rates. A sensible sequence is to raise the floor in early December before tickets go on sale, then raise it in stages if OCC at LT45 exceeds the reference values.

Second, designing minimum-stay requirements. The All-Star is structured over Friday, Saturday and Sunday, and for fans traveling from afar a two-night stay of Fri–Sat or Sat–Sun is the natural pattern. Releasing plans early with the two nights of Friday the 15th and Saturday the 16th as the base unit avoids filling up first with low-rate single-night demand, and also aligns with exam takers’ Fri–Sat two-night stays (night before plus the night after day one). However, Sunday the 17th is limited to post-game return-trip demand, so a three-night requirement including Sunday risks leaving inventory unsold. A realistic combination is to build around the Fri–Sat two-night stay and accept Sunday flexibly as single nights. How exam takers’ pre-test demand relates to room stock around major campuses is covered, along with January prices, in Exam-Night Hotels: 2,203 Rooms Near Kyoto Univ, Zero at Osaka Toyonaka.

Third, reading where demand will go. There are almost no rooms within walking distance of IG Arena, so the first to absorb demand will be Sakae and Hisaya-odori, three stops away on the Meijo Line, and the 18 properties within 2km on the northern side of Marunouchi and Nishiki. Meieki (Nakamura Ward) will capture both attendees arriving by Shinkansen and exam takers heading from Nagoya Station to test venues, so its Friday-night ramp-up is expected to come earlier than Sakae’s. Given that the Meieki side fills sharply between LT30 and LT14 on the reference curve, a split approach works: Nakamura Ward properties should complete two-night conditions and floor increases before LT30, while Naka Ward properties should leave a price ladder to capture last-minute demand after LT14. For the small number of properties in Kita and Higashi wards, proximity to the arena is itself a differentiator, so there is high value in clearly presenting selling conditions for spectators early.

Table 5: Actions and Decision Timing for January 15–17, 2027
ActionTarget datesReference actualsDecision timing
Reset the minimum selling price1/15 (Fri), 1/16 (Sat)Nakamura Ward Nov–Dec settled ADR ¥11,994–¥10,748; Naka Ward ¥11,016–¥9,629Set before ticket release (early December), review at LT45
Minimum stay (Fri–Sat two nights)1/15–1/16Whether pace exceeds normal-Saturday LT45 OCC of 83.0% (Naka) / 73.6% (Nakamura)LT45–LT30
Price ladder for last-minute demand1/16 (Sat), 1/17 (Sun)Normal Saturday LT14→LT1: Naka +3.6pt, Nakamura +1.3ptLT14 onward
Clear selling conditions for spectatorsAll three daysScarcity: 18 active properties / 2,825 rooms within 2kmDuring November

Source: MetroEngines Inc.; compiled by HotelBank Editorial Team

For hotels: plan-naming hints for this theme

Common selling points in published plan names for Aichi × business hotels × exam stays (N=28) —

Breakfast included 54%Entertainment/theme 46%Families with kids 39%Room only 36%Western room/twin 36%Early-bird 21%

Examples of actual names (anonymized, translated):

  • ★Families, fan activities & sports viewing [free breakfast & amenities]★ Smoking Economy Twin
  • ★Families, fan activities & sports viewing [free breakfast & amenities]★ Non-smoking Economy Twin
  • ◇Show your concert or sports ticket for a free amenity gift and 12:00 checkout (free breakfast)

*These are tendencies based on a tally of published plan names and do not show that naming causes sales. For a deeper look at market × naming, see our naming benchmark and event articles.

Summary

In Nagoya on January 15–17, 2027, the three-day All-Star at IG Arena and the two main days of the Common Test fall on the same weekend. Rooms within walking distance of the venue amount to just one active property with 100 rooms, and even within 2km only 18 properties with 2,825 rooms, so spectator demand will shift to Sakae and Marunouchi along the Meijo Line, and to Meieki. January is the month when rates sink lowest in both Meieki and Sakae, with January 2026 settled ADR at ¥9,700 in Nakamura Ward and ¥9,100 in Naka Ward. We also confirmed that on the last Common Test weekend listed prices matched neighboring Saturdays — exam demand alone did not move prices. That is precisely why, for 2027, an effective sequence is: starting from the early-December ticket release, reset floors with reference to November–December settled levels and put Fri–Sat two-night selling conditions in place by LT45, then set the price ladder based on whether OCC at LT45 exceeds the normal-Saturday reference. Once finalized data for January 2027 is available, we will compare how far the All-Star weekend Saturday diverged from neighboring Saturdays against the figures in this article.

⚠ Note on future dates: January 15–17, 2027, covered in this article, is about 87 days after the research date (October 20, 2026), beyond the recommended 45-day lead time, so this article does not use booking pace, estimated OCC, or rates estimated from listings at the time of research for those dates. The autumn 2026 booking curves shown for reference are for comparing shape only and do not indicate booking pace for January 2027. The All-Star schedule, venue and ticket sale timing are based on the organizer’s announcements and may change.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q. When do the 2027 B.LEAGUE All-Star and the Common Test overlap?

The All-Star runs for three days from Friday January 15 to Sunday January 17, 2027 at IG Arena in Kita Ward, Nagoya, and the main Common Test for University Admissions is on Saturday January 16 and Sunday January 17. In terms of lodging demand, the core nights are the 15th, when fans’ first-night stays overlap with exam takers’ pre-test stays, and the 16th, when fans’ Saturday stays overlap with exam takers facing day two.

Q. How many hotels are near IG Arena?

Properties with 10 or more rooms (excluding leisure/love hotels) whose selling prices were confirmed in the last three months number 1 property / 100 rooms within 1km, 18 properties / 2,825 rooms within 2km, and 189 properties / 31,163 rooms within 5km (as of October 21, 2026). Few are within walking distance; in practice demand is absorbed by Sakae and Hisaya-odori (three stops on the Meijo Line), the northern side of Marunouchi and Nishiki, and Meieki.

Q. What level are Nagoya hotel rates in January?

Estimated settled ADR in January 2026 was ¥9,747 in Nakamura Ward (Meieki, N=72 properties) and ¥9,137 in Naka Ward (Sakae/Fushimi, N=89 properties); in 2025, too, January was the lowest of the 12 months. Compared with September 2026, when the Asian Games were held (Nakamura Ward ¥17,440, Naka Ward ¥16,927), this is only 50–60% of the level.

Q. Does the Common Test alone raise hotel prices in Nagoya?

It did not last time. On Saturday January 17, 2026, day one of the Common Test, the listed price for Aichi business hotels was ¥21,800 (N=310 properties), nearly the same as the surrounding Saturdays (¥22,100, ¥21,900, ¥22,200). Exam-taker stays in Nagoya amount to about 545 rooms per night assuming a 3% lodging ratio, which is absorbed by a supply of over 20,000 rooms.

Q. When and what should hotels decide?

In early December, before tickets go on sale, reset the floors for the 15th and 16th with reference to November–December settled levels (Nakamura Ward ¥10,748–¥11,994, Naka Ward ¥9,629–¥11,016), and release selling conditions based on a Fri–Sat two-night stay. Then decide on staged increases based on whether estimated OCC at LT45 (around December 1) exceeds the normal-Saturday reference values (Naka Ward 83.0%, Nakamura Ward 73.6%).

References and Sources

■ Data sources

Estimated settled ADR for Nagoya City and Aichi Prefecture properties tracked by MetroEngines Research (Nakamura Ward, Naka Ward, Aichi Prefecture; finalized months January 2025–September 2026); daily trend in listed prices (Fridays and Saturdays in January 2025 and January 2026, all-plan average, two guests per room, tax-inclusive, at final observation); booking curves estimated from inventory listed on major booking sites (Naka and Nakamura wards, check-ins on September 26, October 10 and October 17, 2026, LT45–LT1); and a property master for 1km, 2km and 5km radii around IG Arena (as of October 21, 2026). For event schedules, venue and test dates, only the published materials of the organizers and public bodies listed below were used.

■ Assumptions

Estimated settled ADR is the property median of tax-exclusive-equivalent values obtained by multiplying the lowest-plan level (two guests per room, per room, tax-inclusive) by a property-type correction factor; only validated finalized months are used, and listing-based estimates for January 2027 are not used for comparison. Estimated OCC is estimated from the sell-through of OTA listed inventory, using only observations from 45 days before to the day before the stay date (LT45–LT1). Rooms within each radius cover properties with 10 or more rooms (excluding leisure/love hotels); “active” means properties whose selling prices were confirmed in August–October 2026. The number of rooms for exam takers (545 per night in Nagoya) is our estimate based on an assumed 3% lodging ratio.

■ Limitations

Because our remaining-inventory observations began on March 10, 2026, no booking curve exists for the last Common Test weekend (January 2026), and the autumn 2026 Saturday curves serve only as shape references. Estimated OCC is based on listed inventory and differs from properties’ actual total occupancy, and estimated settled ADR also differs from actual settled prices and accounting figures. Kita Ward falls short of the number of properties needed to calculate estimated settled ADR in many months, so no ward-level series is shown. The All-Star schedule and ticket sale timing are based on the organizer’s announcements and may change.

■ Sources

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