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Tokyo Lodging Tax Goes 3% Flat in April 2027: ¥13,000 Exemption Line

Posted: 2026.09.01

Tokyo’s lodging tax switches to an ad valorem design — 3% of the lodging charge — for stays from 1 April 2027 (Reiwa 9). At the same time the tax-free threshold is raised from under ¥10,000 to under ¥13,000 per guest per night, and the tax base is extended to simple lodging houses (kan-i shukusho) and private lodging (minpaku under the Private Lodging Business Act and National Strategic Special Zone minpaku). After checking the revision against the primary source published by the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation, we quantify where that ¥13,000 line actually falls within the distribution of prevailing rates, using estimated settled ADR for 452 properties across Tokyo’s 23 wards and 590 properties in Osaka Prefecture. We also compare how the shape of the effective tax rate diverges from Osaka Prefecture, which keeps its tiered flat-amount design.

Metric Definitions and Conversion Assumptions Used in This Article

  • ADR (average daily rate): an estimated settled rate (tax-excluded equivalent) derived by applying a property-type correction factor to the lowest publicly listed plan level for each property (double occupancy, per-room, tax-included). Cross-checked against per-property results disclosed by listed hotel REITs (184 property-months, April-May 2026), the median error is about 7%. These are estimates and differ from each property’s actual transacted rates or accounting figures. Area-level ADR is the median of the properties covered (the level of a typical property in that area).
  • Converting room rates to a per-guest-per-night basis: the lodging tax is levied on the lodging charge per guest per night, but the underlying data here is the per-room rate at double occupancy. The text and exhibits therefore show both conversions: room rate ÷ 2 for double occupancy and room rate × 1 for single occupancy. Because actual guests per room vary by property and season, the two figures serve as the lower and upper bounds of the distribution.
  • Tax base: in both Tokyo and Osaka Prefecture, the taxable “lodging charge” is the room-only equivalent, excluding meal charges, and excluding consumption tax and other taxes (per the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and the Osaka Prefectural government). The ADR used here is a tax-excluded equivalent and therefore close to the tax base, but note that the meal component of plans that include meals must be separated out.
  • The term “minpaku”: as used here, minpaku means private lodging businesses under the Private Lodging Business Act and special-zone minpaku under the National Strategic Special Zones Act. Both follow the taxable categories defined in the Tokyo and Osaka ordinances; no listing-based short-stay inventory data is used in this article.
  • Data sources: MetroEngines Research (price data); Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and Osaka Prefecture (regulatory data)
Key Takeaways
  • — Effective 1 April 2027 — Tokyo’s lodging tax becomes an ad valorem 3% of the lodging charge. The exemption rises to under ¥13,000 per guest per night, and simple lodging houses and minpaku are added to the tax base (Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation).
  • — 11.1% at double occupancy, 59.5% at single occupancy — that is the share of the 452 properties in Tokyo’s 23 wards whose estimated settled ADR, converted to a per-guest-per-night basis, clears the exemption line. The medians are ¥7,214 at double occupancy and ¥14,428 at single occupancy.
  • — Only city hotels sit above the line at double occupancy — Tokyo city hotels convert to roughly ¥14,000 per guest per night. Switch to single occupancy and business hotels (about ¥14,300) and resort hotels (about ¥14,100) join them.
  • — 43.4% cross the line seasonally — on a single-occupancy basis, 196 properties move in and out of the tax net depending on the month. Taxability has to be assessed monthly, not annually.
  • — The tax base is room-only and tax-excluded — the breakfast component at Tokyo city hotels runs about ¥3,600 per guest (N=65). There is a real price band where separating out the meal component decides which side of the exemption line a plan falls on.

1 April 2027: Tokyo’s Lodging Tax Becomes 3% of the Lodging Charge

The Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation’s “Revision of the Lodging Tax” page states explicitly that the change applies from 1 April 2027 (Reiwa 9). Its before-and-after comparison shows three changes: the rate structure, the exemption threshold, and the scope of taxpayers.

Table 1. Tokyo lodging tax, before and after — taxpayers, exemption and rate (current, from 1 October 2002; revised, from 1 April 2027)
ItemCurrent (from 1 Oct 2002)Revised (from 1 Apr 2027)
TaxpayerGuests at ryokan and hotels in TokyoGuests at ryokan and hotels, simple lodging houses and minpaku in Tokyo
ExemptionUnder ¥10,000 per guest per nightUnder ¥13,000 per guest per night
Rate¥100 for ¥10,000 to under ¥15,000
¥200 for ¥15,000 and above
3% of the lodging charge
CollectionSpecial collection by the accommodation provider (unchanged)

Source: compiled from the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation, “Revision of the Lodging Tax”

The path to the revision is set out in the same page’s Q&A. Starting from the October 2023 report of the Tokyo Metropolitan Tax Commission, a draft revision was compiled in November 2025, went through public comment (opinions from 110 individuals and organisations), and the ordinance was passed by the Metropolitan Assembly on 27 March 2026. Consent from the Minister for Internal Affairs and Communications followed on 30 June 2026, fixing the enforcement date at 1 April 2027. Tokyo explains its move to an ad valorem design as making it “desirable to ask guests to bear a burden proportionate to the lodging charge,” and says the 3% rate was set “taking into account the situation in other cities.”

Tokyo frames the higher exemption as a step taken “in line with rising lodging charges,” and, based on its own survey, expects “more than 70% of school-trip rates to be exempt.” On extending the tax to minpaku, the metropolitan government estimates that “about 30% of minpaku properties are expected to become taxable.” Post-revision revenue is projected at roughly ¥19.0bn; in the initial FY2026 budget, ¥8.1bn of the ¥37.6bn in principal programme costs for promoting the tourism industry is funded by the lodging tax.

Osaka Prefecture Keeps the Tiered Flat-Amount Design — Two Systems Side by Side

Osaka Prefecture, by contrast, made its most recent revision effective 1 September 2025, and the design itself remains tiered flat amounts. As far as the prefecture’s “History of the Introduction and Revision of the Lodging Tax” page (updated 10 July 2026) shows, no move to an ad valorem design has been decided. Supplementary provision 7 of the prefectural ordinance requires the system to be reviewed every five years; the current position is that the rate increases and lower exemption threshold recommended in the first report of the review council established in April 2024 took effect on 1 September 2025 (rates and exemption threshold) and 1 November 2025 (tax exemptions).

Table 2. Osaka Prefecture lodging tax, tiered flat amounts — tax by lodging-charge band per guest per night (current, from 1 Sep 2025; previous, through 31 Aug 2025)
Lodging charge per guest per nightOsaka, current (from 1 Sep 2025)Osaka, previous (through 31 Aug 2025)
Under ¥5,000Not taxedNot taxed (under ¥7,000)
¥5,000 to under ¥15,000¥200¥100 (¥7,000 and above)
¥15,000 to under ¥20,000¥400¥200
¥20,000 and above¥500¥300

Source: compiled from Osaka Prefecture, “Lodging Tax”

Osaka’s taxable properties already include special-zone minpaku and private lodging businesses alongside ryokan/hotel operations and simple lodging houses under the Hotel Business Act. The extension Tokyo makes in April 2027 amounts to catching up with the scope Osaka had already reached through two ordinance revisions, in July 2017 and October 2018. See also our cross-sectional compilation of lodging tax amounts and effective dates for all 62 municipalities in Japan.

The Shape of the Effective Tax Rate Changes — Flat 3% Above the Line, Sawtooth Under Tiered Amounts

Start with the nature of the two designs. An ad valorem rate and a tiered flat amount trace completely different curves for the effective burden (tax divided by lodging charge). The chart below plots the effective tax rate against the lodging charge per guest per night for Tokyo before and after the revision, and for Osaka Prefecture as it stands.

Source: compiled by the HotelBank Editorial Team from published materials of the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and Osaka Prefecture (horizontal axis: lodging charge per guest per night, room-only, tax-excluded)

After the revision, Tokyo’s effective rate jumps from zero to 3.0% at the ¥13,000 line and then stays flat at 3.0% however high the price goes. A tiered flat amount, by contrast, traces a sawtooth: the effective rate peaks at the bottom of each tier and falls as the price rises within it. Under Osaka’s current system the peak is 4.0% at ¥5,000, just above the exemption threshold, falling to 2.5% at ¥20,000 and 1.0% by ¥50,000. Tokyo’s current system behaves the same way: 1.0% at ¥10,000 and 0.4% at ¥50,000.

In other words, moving to an ad valorem rate raises the burden on higher price points and lowers it on cheaper ones. In yen terms, as the table shows, only the band from ¥10,000 to ¥12,999 per guest per night pays less than it does today (¥100 to ¥0); everything from ¥13,000 up pays more.

Table 3. Tax by lodging charge per guest per night — Tokyo current, Tokyo revised (3%), difference, and Osaka current (room-only, tax-excluded basis)
Lodging charge per guest per nightTokyo, currentTokyo, revised (3%)DifferenceOsaka, current
¥5,000¥0¥0±¥0¥200
¥10,000¥100¥0−¥100¥200
¥12,999 (just below the exemption line)¥100¥0−¥100¥200
¥13,000 (exemption line)¥100¥390+¥290¥200
¥15,000¥200¥450+¥250¥400
¥20,000¥200¥600+¥400¥500
¥30,000¥200¥900+¥700¥500
¥50,000¥200¥1,500+¥1,300¥500

Source: compiled by the HotelBank Editorial Team from published materials of the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and Osaka Prefecture (amounts are per guest per night, room-only, tax-excluded)

Where the ¥13,000 Line Falls Against Prevailing Rates — the Distribution Across 452 Properties in Tokyo’s 23 Wards

Now to the substance. Using MetroEngines Research estimated settled ADR, we built the distribution of per-guest-per-night rates for 452 properties across Tokyo’s 23 wards (12-month average, August 2025 to July 2026, limited to properties with a continuous estimated settled ADR series). As noted above, the tax is levied per guest per night while the source data is a per-room rate at double occupancy, so both conversions are shown: double occupancy (room rate ÷ 2) and single occupancy (room rate × 1).

Source: MetroEngines Research (Tokyo 23 wards, N=452 properties; 12-month average estimated settled ADR, August 2025 to July 2026, converted to a per-guest-per-night basis)

The result is unambiguous. At double occupancy, only 50 of the 452 properties — 11.1% — clear the ¥13,000 line. The median is ¥7,214, far below it. Against today’s ¥10,000 line, 108 properties (23.9%) clear the bar, so raising the exemption roughly halves the share of taxable properties on a double-occupancy basis.

At single occupancy the picture inverts: 269 properties, or 59.5%, stand above the line. The median is ¥14,428, about ¥2,000 above it. Against today’s ¥10,000 line, 369 properties (81.6%) are taxable, so the higher exemption cuts the share from 81.6% to 59.5% — but six in ten properties remain on the taxable side. In short, the ¥13,000 exemption line is drawn at a point in Tokyo’s rate distribution where double-occupancy stays are largely untaxed while a majority of single-occupancy stays are taxed.

That asymmetry means central-Tokyo hotels with heavy single-occupancy business demand will feel the operational effect of the ad valorem shift most. Properties dominated by two-guest leisure stays, conversely, will see more nights fall out of the tax net as the exemption rises.

Source: MetroEngines Research (Osaka Prefecture, N=590 properties; 12-month average estimated settled ADR, August 2025 to July 2026, converted to a per-guest-per-night basis. The dashed line marks Osaka’s current ¥5,000 exemption threshold)

For comparison we built the same distribution for 590 properties in Osaka Prefecture. The medians are ¥5,368 at double occupancy and ¥10,736 at single occupancy. At single occupancy, 557 properties (94.4%) clear Osaka’s current ¥5,000 exemption threshold, and even at double occupancy 335 properties (56.8%) are taxable. With the threshold set low, the Osaka system reads as broad and thin. Applying Tokyo’s ¥13,000 line to Osaka instead would leave 7.6% above it at double occupancy and 33.1% at single occupancy — a notch below Tokyo either way.

By Property Type — Only City Hotels Clear the Line at Double Occupancy

Next, by property type. We converted estimated settled ADR by prefecture and property type (12-month average, August 2025 to July 2026) to a per-guest-per-night basis and set it against the ¥13,000 line.

Source: MetroEngines Research (12-month average estimated settled ADR, August 2025 to July 2026; per-guest-per-night at double occupancy = room rate ÷ 2)

Table 4. Estimated settled ADR by property type and per-guest-per-night conversion — Tokyo and Osaka (12-month average, August 2025 to July 2026; double occupancy = room rate ÷ 2)
Property typeTokyo, room ADRDouble occ. per guestSingle occ. per guestOsaka, room ADRDouble occ. per guestN (Tokyo / Osaka)
City hotels¥27,900¥14,000¥27,900¥13,800¥6,900107 / 92
Business hotels¥14,300¥7,100¥14,300¥10,400¥5,200910 / 497
Resort hotels¥14,100¥7,100¥14,100——19 / 6 (Osaka excluded from aggregation)
Ryokan¥11,000¥5,500¥11,000¥11,600¥5,80055 / 40
Capsule hotels¥5,900¥3,000¥5,900¥4,700¥2,30038 / 10

Source: MetroEngines Research (N is the number of properties in the monthly median estimated settled ADR sample. Resort hotels in Osaka Prefecture are excluded from aggregation as the sample is small at N=6)

On a double-occupancy basis, only Tokyo city hotels (about ¥14,000 per guest per night) clear the ¥13,000 line. Tokyo business hotels sit at about ¥7,100, ryokan at about ¥5,500 and capsule hotels at about ¥3,000 — all around half the line or less. Even Osaka city hotels, at about ¥6,900, are half the level of their Tokyo counterparts.

Switch to single occupancy, however, and Tokyo business hotels (about ¥14,300) and resort hotels (about ¥14,100) clear the line. Business hotels — the largest property type by room count in the Japanese market — sit just above the line on an annual average when occupied by a single guest, and that is the most operationally consequential point in this revision. See also our explainer on the difference between estimated settled ADR and listed prices.

So far we have looked at the two extremes, single occupancy (÷ 1) and double occupancy (÷ 2), but actual guests per room fall between them. Because the exemption test applies to the per-guest-per-night rate, the exemption line per room reduces to a simple product: ¥13,000 × guests per room. The table below shows the per-guest-per-night rate and the resulting taxability for combinations of room rate (room-only, tax-excluded) and guests per room.

Table 8. Sensitivity of room rate × guests per room — per-guest-per-night rate and taxability under the revised Tokyo system (¥13,000 exemption line, 3% rate)
Room rate1.0 guests1.3 guests1.5 guests1.8 guests2.0 guests
¥10,000¥10,000
Not taxed
¥7,692
Not taxed
¥6,667
Not taxed
¥5,556
Not taxed
¥5,000
Not taxed
¥15,000¥15,000
Taxable / ¥450 per room
¥11,538
Not taxed
¥10,000
Not taxed
¥8,333
Not taxed
¥7,500
Not taxed
¥20,000¥20,000
Taxable / ¥600 per room
¥15,385
Taxable / ¥600 per room
¥13,333
Taxable / ¥600 per room
¥11,111
Not taxed
¥10,000
Not taxed
¥26,000¥26,000
Taxable / ¥780 per room
¥20,000
Taxable / ¥780 per room
¥17,333
Taxable / ¥780 per room
¥14,444
Taxable / ¥780 per room
¥13,000
Taxable / ¥780 per room
¥30,000¥30,000
Taxable / ¥900 per room
¥23,077
Taxable / ¥900 per room
¥20,000
Taxable / ¥900 per room
¥16,667
Taxable / ¥900 per room
¥15,000
Taxable / ¥900 per room
¥40,000¥40,000
Taxable / ¥1,200 per room
¥30,769
Taxable / ¥1,200 per room
¥26,667
Taxable / ¥1,200 per room
¥22,222
Taxable / ¥1,200 per room
¥20,000
Taxable / ¥1,200 per room

Source: calculated by the HotelBank Editorial Team from materials published by the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation (room rates are room-only and tax-excluded; per-guest-per-night = room rate ÷ guests per room. Shaded cells are combinations that are taxable under the revised Tokyo system)

There are two ways to read it. The first is the threshold: at 1.0 guests per room the cut-off is a ¥13,000 room rate, at 1.5 guests ¥19,500, and at 2.0 guests ¥26,000. The second is the tax amount: once taxable, the tax per room is 3% of the room rate regardless of occupancy (per-guest tax times guests equals 3% of the room rate). The occupancy assumption therefore drives whether you are taxed, not how much you pay once you are. If your average is in the 1.3 to 1.5 guests range, the practical dividing line is a room rate of ¥16,900 to ¥19,500.

43.4% of Properties Cross the Line Seasonally — How Many Months a Year Are You Taxable?

What an annual average hides is the set of properties that cross the line seasonally. For the 452 properties in Tokyo’s 23 wards, we converted the cheapest and most expensive month of estimated settled ADR to a per-guest-per-night basis and sorted them into three groups against the ¥13,000 line.

Table 5. Annual classification of 452 properties in Tokyo’s 23 wards — taxable all year, crossing the line by month, or exempt all year (single vs double occupancy)
ClassificationSingle occupancyDouble occupancy
¥13,000 or more all year (always taxable)154 properties, 34.1%26 properties, 5.8%
Crosses the line depending on the month196 properties, 43.4%77 properties, 17.0%
Under ¥13,000 all year (always exempt)102 properties, 22.6%349 properties, 77.2%

Source: MetroEngines Research (Tokyo 23 wards, N=452 properties; classified by the minimum and maximum monthly estimated settled ADR, August 2025 to July 2026)

On a single-occupancy basis, 196 properties — 43.4% — sit in the band where taxability flips from month to month. Applying the same ¥13,000 line to the 590 properties in Osaka Prefecture puts 46.1% in that band. The arithmetic of an ad valorem tax is simple, but because the exemption line cuts through the thickest part of the distribution, the taxable-or-not determination for a given property will switch with the season.

The next chart makes that concrete. It overlays monthly estimated settled ADR for Tokyo business hotels year by year, with the single-occupancy exemption line (¥13,000) and the double-occupancy exemption line (equivalent to ¥26,000 per room) drawn in.

Source: MetroEngines Research (Tokyo business hotels; area median estimated settled ADR, N=822-924 properties per month. Months from August 2026 onward are estimates based on listed rates at the time of the survey)

Months above ¥13,000 numbered five of twelve in 2024 (March, April, October, November, December), eight in 2025, and four of the seven actual months in 2026 (February, March, April, May). As rate levels have risen, more months have pushed single-occupancy business hotel stays onto the taxable side. Shoulder months such as June and July still fall below the line, so even after enforcement begins in April 2027, the same property moving in and out of the tax net by month looks set to persist for some time.

By Ward — Shibuya, Chuo and Minato Sit Closest to the Line

For the 13 of Tokyo’s 23 wards with a continuous estimated settled ADR series for at least eight properties, we aggregated 12-month averages at the property level.

Source: MetroEngines Research (the 13 wards of Tokyo with at least eight properties, 418 properties in total; 12-month average estimated settled ADR, August 2025 to July 2026, converted to a per-guest-per-night basis)

Table 6. Median estimated settled ADR by ward and the share of properties above ¥13,000 — the 13 wards with at least eight properties, 418 properties in total
WardPropertiesMedian room ADRDouble occ. per guestShare above ¥13,000, double occ.Share above ¥13,000, single occ.
Shibuya17¥21,900¥10,95041.2%70.6%
Chuo58¥18,900¥9,46315.5%77.6%
Minato56¥18,000¥8,98023.2%80.4%
Sumida11¥16,400¥8,18018.2%81.8%
Chiyoda34¥15,000¥7,5158.8%79.4%
Shinjuku53¥14,700¥7,33218.9%60.4%
Koto16¥14,300¥7,1620.0%62.5%
Toshima34¥13,500¥6,7345.9%52.9%
Bunkyo9¥13,300¥6,6570.0%55.6%
Taito70¥12,900¥6,4564.3%50.0%
Edogawa8¥12,000¥6,0110.0%25.0%
Shinagawa19¥12,000¥5,9820.0%36.8%
Ota33¥11,900¥5,9660.0%24.2%

Source: MetroEngines Research (only wards with at least eight properties carrying a continuous estimated settled ADR series are shown; 418 properties in total)

Shibuya (41.2%) is the only ward where more than four in ten properties clear the line even at double occupancy, followed by Minato at 23.2%, Shinjuku at 18.9% and Sumida at 18.2%. Switch to single occupancy and the leaders become Sumida at 81.8%, Minato at 80.4%, Chiyoda at 79.4% and Chuo at 77.6% — high shares across the five central wards and the wards with heavy tourist demand. The operational implication lies less in the gap between wards than in the fact that the share moves sharply within the same ward on the occupancy assumption alone. Chiyoda, for instance, sits at just 8.8% at double occupancy but reaches 79.4% at single occupancy.

The Tax Base Is Room-Only and Tax-Excluded — Separating Meals Decides Which Side of the Line You Are On

The analysis so far assumes room-only rates, but in practice the treatment of meal-inclusive plans decides which side of the exemption line a booking falls on. The Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation states that “the lodging charge means the so-called room-only rate, excluding meal charges and the like,” and Osaka Prefecture likewise lists “amounts for food, drink and entertainment provided in connection with the stay” and “consumption tax, local consumption tax, bathing tax, lodging tax and other taxes” as items not included in the lodging charge. The tax base, in short, is room-only and tax-excluded.

How large is the meal component? A paired comparison limited to properties selling both a room-only plan and a breakfast-inclusive plan within the same hotel (August 2026, double occupancy) gives the following.

Table 7. Paired comparison of the breakfast premium — uplift per room and per guest by area and property type (August 2026, double occupancy)
Area and property typeBreakfast premium (per room, 2 guests)Uplift ratePer guestProperties
Tokyo, city hotels¥7,20017.2%¥3,600N=65
Tokyo, business hotels¥2,70013.3%¥1,400N=361
Tokyo, all types¥4,00014.8%¥2,000N=468
Osaka Prefecture, city hotels¥4,30017.1%¥2,200N=57
Osaka Prefecture, business hotels¥1,70010.9%¥900N=164
Osaka Prefecture, all types¥3,10015.0%¥1,600N=245

Source: MetroEngines Research (August 2026, double occupancy; paired comparison limited to properties selling both a room-only and a breakfast-inclusive plan within the same hotel. Per-guest figures are the room amount ÷ 2)

At Tokyo city hotels the breakfast component runs to about ¥3,600 per guest. Given a ¥13,000 exemption line, there is a real price band where doing that separation correctly flips a booking between taxable and exempt. A breakfast-inclusive double-occupancy plan at ¥15,000 per guest, for example, nets out to roughly ¥11,400 room-only after removing the ¥3,600 meal component — below the exemption line. Business hotels show a gap of about ¥1,400 per guest, so plans in the ¥13,000 to ¥14,400 band behave the same way.

An ad valorem tax is a simple calculation — lodging charge times 3% — but isolating that “lodging charge” correctly for each plan matters more than it did under tiered flat amounts. With tiers, an error in the split changes nothing unless it moves the booking across a tier boundary; with an ad valorem rate, the error flows straight into the tax. Put the other way round: settle plan design and rate breakdowns first, and post-enforcement operations become mechanical. Our analysis matching Osaka estimated settled ADR against guest review scores likewise finds meals to be the main driver of rate differences.

The Timetable to Enforcement, and What Can Be Put in Place Now

The Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation began accepting special collection agent registrations from operators of simple lodging houses and minpaku (special-zone and Private Lodging Business Act) on 1 July 2026, advising that “applications are expected to be congested at the end of the fiscal year, so please apply by December 2026.” Registration has long been in place for ryokan and hotel operators, and the bureau notes explicitly that registration is required where a rate revision newly brings a property into the tax base.

The earlier finding that 43.4% of properties cross the line seasonally on a single-occupancy basis connects directly to that requirement. A property reliably below the exemption line all year needs no registration; one that clears the line only in peak season does. Mapping where your own monthly rates sit against the ¥13,000 line over the year before enforcement is worth the effort.

On the support side, Tokyo says it will remove the cap on the special collection grant (2.5% of the amount declared and remitted), which subsidises part of the cost of acting as collection agent. If the ad valorem shift raises the amount declared and remitted, removing the cap means the grant rises with it. The metropolitan government also says it will work on simplifying declaration and remittance procedures, so some relief on the administrative burden is built into the system itself.

From a revenue-design standpoint, the question is how a 3% rate meshes with the room for rate changes. On a ¥13,000 per-guest plan the tax is ¥390, or ¥780 per room at double occupancy. That is small next to the breakfast premium on a comparable plan (about ¥2,700 per room at Tokyo business hotels) and within the range that a review of pricing and plan structure can absorb. The lodging tax is borne by the guest and does not flow into property revenue, but the gap between the displayed rate and the total widens — so designing total-price display and advance notice ahead of time will lighten the load on the front line once the tax takes effect.

Conclusion

From 1 April 2027 Tokyo’s lodging tax becomes an ad valorem 3% of the lodging charge, the exemption rises to under ¥13,000 per guest per night, and simple lodging houses and minpaku join the tax base. Laid over the distribution of prevailing rates, that ¥13,000 line is cleared by 11.1% of the 452 properties in Tokyo’s 23 wards at double occupancy and by 59.5% at single occupancy. The line sits where two-guest stays mostly fall short and single-guest stays mostly clear it.

By property type, only Tokyo city hotels (about ¥14,000 per guest per night) sit above the line at double occupancy, but at single occupancy business hotels (about ¥14,300) and resort hotels (about ¥14,100) join them. And because 43.4% of properties sit in the band that crosses the line seasonally on a single-occupancy basis, taxability has to be judged month by month rather than year by year.

Osaka Prefecture keeps its tiered flat amounts, so its effective rate falls as prices rise: 4.0% at ¥5,000, just above the exemption threshold, and 1.0% at ¥50,000. The shape of the burden differs from Tokyo’s flat 3%, so from April 2027 the same “lodging tax” will bite quite differently by price band in the two jurisdictions. Mapping your own monthly rates onto a per-guest-per-night basis early, and getting to a state where the room-only charge can be isolated plan by plan, is the most practical preparation available in the eighteen months before enforcement.

Related Reading

⚠ Note on ADR for future dates: ADR figures for months from August 2026 onward are estimates based on rates publicly listed at the time of the survey and will move as the check-in date approaches. Past months (through July 2026) are estimated settled ADR on a verified historical basis. Details of the tax, its forms and its procedures may also be updated, so please check the latest publications of the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and Osaka Prefecture before acting on them.

References and Sources

■ Data sources

Prices are MetroEngines Research estimated settled ADR. We used property-level series (452 properties in Tokyo’s 23 wards and 590 in Osaka Prefecture; 12-month average, August 2025 to July 2026), monthly series by prefecture and property type, and a paired comparison limited to properties selling both a room-only and a breakfast-inclusive plan within the same hotel (August 2026, double occupancy). The tax rules, rates, exemption thresholds and procedures come from materials published by the Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Taxation and Osaka Prefecture.

■ Calculation assumptions

The lodging tax is levied on the lodging charge per guest per night, while the price data is a per-room rate at double occupancy. Per-guest-per-night figures are therefore shown two ways — room rate ÷ 2 (double occupancy) and room rate × 1 (single occupancy) — and because actual guests per room vary by property and season, the two are treated as the lower and upper bounds of the distribution. The sensitivity table also covers the middle of that range (1.3, 1.5 and 1.8 guests). The tax base is room-only and tax-excluded. Tax amounts follow the revised Tokyo rate of 3% of the lodging charge and the Osaka tiered flat amounts effective 1 September 2025.

■ Limitations and caveats

ADR is an estimate; cross-checked against per-property results disclosed by listed hotel REITs (184 property-months, April-May 2026), the median error is about 7%. Months from August 2026 onward are estimates based on listed rates at the time of the survey and move as the check-in date approaches. Ward-level aggregation is limited to the 13 wards with at least eight properties carrying a continuous estimated settled ADR series (418 properties in total); wards with fewer properties are not shown. Details of the tax, its forms and its procedures may be updated, so please check the latest publications of the relevant local government before acting on them.

■ Primary sources on the tax (official local government pages)

■ Price data

  • MetroEngines Research — estimated settled ADR (Tokyo 23 wards, N=452 properties; Osaka Prefecture, N=590 properties; August 2025 to July 2026), monthly estimated settled ADR by prefecture and property type (January 2024 to December 2026), and a paired comparison by meal type (August 2026)

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